H2020Individual fellowship2015–2017

ARCGATE · maximizing the potential of Arctic Ocean Gateway array

Horizon 2020 — Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Duration
2015-07-01 → 2017-06-30
EU contribution
€171,461
Participants
1
Scheme
MSCA-IF-EF-ST

Lines connect the coordinator with its partners.

Results in brief

ARCGATE: maximizing the potential of Arctic Ocean Gateway array

Arctic Sea ice has been shrinking over many decades, indicating that there is more heat available in the climate system. Future prediction of this development, which is also important for socio-economic aspects like shipping or exploitation of resources, requires better understanding of the relevant processes. Although heat transport to the Arctic through the ocean circulation has been assumed to play an important role on the Arctic Ocean sea ice reduction, we do not know how much oceanic heat has been carried to the Arctic over last decades. By using observations for quantification of this heat transport for the first time, ARCGATE provides important information to assess Arctic change. The export of fresh water (FW) from the Arctic Ocean to North Atlantic is another important process in the climate system. It has the potential to modulate the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation, and consequently affect European climate. Almost all climate models predict that the Arctic is one of the most vulnerable regions in the world for future climate change. However, we do not know enough about the role of these processes in the present day climate to be able to predict with confidence what the future will look like. The main Arctic gateways are Davis Strait, Fram Strait, Bering Strait and Barents Sea Opening (BSO). Velocity, temperature and salinity have been observed by six research groups in USA, Germany and Norway over the last decades to monitor the exchanges of mass, heat, FW between the Arctic Ocean and surrounding oceans. (Figure 1). However, no attempts were made to integrate fluxes over all mooring arrays across the Arctic boundary to draw a comprehensive picture of the Arctic heat and FW budget. In this project, data of all mooring arrays were integrated in order to quantify time variability of ocean circulation and associated heat and FW transports between 2004 and 2010 (Figure 2). To do so, data of around 1,000 individual moored instruments in the Arctic main gateways from six different research groups were assembled. The obtained time series provide a benchmark data set for the validation of numerical general circulation models of the Arctic Ocean and air-sea surface heat and FW fluxes estimates from atmospheric re-analyses products.

Data: CORDIS, © European Union

Project objective

Predictions that the Arctic Ocean might be ice-free by the middle of the 21st century are of major social, economic, political and scientific interest. Making sensible decisions on European Arctic economic development requires that scientific knowledge and data are more accessible and usable by both academics and non-academics alike. ARCGATE aims to obtain innovative physical and biogeochemical budgets for the Arctic Ocean based on the Arctic gateway observations. Integrating Arctic gateway observations the applicant has recently developed an innovative method to obtain quasi-synoptic and time varying comprehensive budget estimates using a box inverse model. The main objective of ARCGATE is to extend the inverse box model methodology to calculate multi-year Arctic heat and fresh water (FW) budget variations during 2004-2010, including import of heat, export of FW and storage of both. Over 20 million euro has already been spent on Arctic observations during this period. The host institute of this proposal holds about half of historical Arctic gateway observations. The obtained budget estimates will be disseminated and exploited through an open data policy. Furthermore, ARCGATE aims to push disciplinary and sectional boundaries. By applying the same pan-Arctic approach, the total alkalinity budget for summer 2005 will be calculated. A sound estimate of the total alkalinity budget will significantly advance understanding of the entire carbonate system of the Arctic Ocean. Mobility from UK to Germany is key to the success of ARCGATE enabling synthesis of the pan-Arctic inverse box-model developed in UK over the last six years with state-of-the-art estimates of Arctic Ocean heat, FW storage changes in time, and a new interpretation of total alkalinity all developed at the host institute for this project. Close links to the commercial Arctic shipping sector will be developed by disseminating the results of ARCGATE at international shipping conferences.

Original text from CORDIS.

Participants

  • ALFRED-WEGENER-INSTITUT HELMHOLTZ-ZENTRUM FUR POLAR- UND MEERESFORSCHUNG · BremerhavenCoordinatorGermany

Links

Data: CORDIS, © European Union