H2020Individual fellowship2016–2018

MSCCC · Marine Stratocumulus Cloud Cover and Climate

Horizon 2020 — Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions

Duration
2016-04-01 → 2018-03-31
EU contribution
€159,461
Participants
1
Scheme
MSCA-IF-EF-ST

Lines connect the coordinator with its partners.

Results in brief

Marine Stratocumulus Cloud Cover and Climate

Global climate change is forced by the balance of the warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and the cooling due to anthropogenic aerosol pollution particles. Among these, the cloud-mediated aerosol radiative forcing is by far the main component of the uncertainty. Marine Stratocumulus Clouds (MSC) play a decisive role in the climate system due to their very large net effect on the Earth's radiative energy budget. The two main cloud regimes of MSC are open and closed cells. The less cloudy open cells are leaving much of the dark ocean unobscured, while the fully cloudy closed cells in turn are causing a very large cloud radiative effect in the solar radiation spectrum. Anthropogenic perturbation such as CO2 warming, but in particular also anthropogenic aerosol pollution, may delay the transition between open and closed cell regimes. The main hypothesis of the Marine Stratocumulus Cloud Cover and Climate (MSCCC) is that anthropogenic aerosols exert a substantial radiative forcing via their potential to impede or delay the transition from closed to open cells regime. This hypothesis was addresses via analysis of observational data and model simulations of different scales. The objectives of the study were (1) developing novel methodologies for satellite retrievals of properties related to marine stratocumulus clouds, (2) to employ the developed methodologies to seek an in-depth understanding of the processes relevant for the transition between marine stratocumulus cloud cover regimes, (3) to test global climate model parameterizations responsible for marine stratocumulus cloud cover changes, (4) to quantify the contribution of the delay in marine stratocumulus transitions to the climate forcing, and (5) to obtain new skills and knowledge in climate modelling, gain scientific and public recognition of my work, and gather experience in teaching and student mentoring. The results and insights from MSCCC are of immediate relevance to society via improved physical understanding that leads to a more reliable projections of future climate change. The results further are highly relevant to the research on climate geo-engineering via marine cloud brightening, although it remains an open question whether this may be considered beneficial for society.

Data: CORDIS, © European Union

Project objective

Global climate change is forced by the balance of the warming due to anthropogenic greenhouse gases and the cooling due to anthropogenic aerosol pollution particles. Among these, the cloud-mediated aerosol radiative forcing is by far the main component of the uncertainty. Marine stratocumulus clouds in particular play a decisive role due to their very large net effect on the Earth's radiative energy budget. Stratocumulus clouds occur in the two main regimes of open and closed cells that differ significantly by their cloud cover, and thus by their radiative effect. The main hypothesis of this proposal is that anthropogenic aerosols exert a substantial radiative forcing via their potential to impede or delay the transition from closed to open cells marine stratocumulus, and that this presumably un-buffered effect is not accounted for in forcing estimates by current climate models.The Marine Stratocumulus Cloud Cover and Climate (MSCCC) project aims to improve the quantification, at a global, multi-year scale, of the radiative forcing on climate that anthropogenic aerosols exert by affecting stratocumulus cloud cover. To achieve this goal an inter-disciplinary approach that involves both observations and climate modelling is required. I will develop novel satellite observation methodologies in order to retrieve an in-depth understanding of the processes relevant for the transitions between closed and open stratocumulus regimes, and based on these I will evaluate and improve the relevant climate model parameterizations to realistically represent the forcing by aerosols due to stratocumulus transitions in climate models. This will allow to significantly reduce the uncertainty in simulated aerosol-cloud radiative forcing, and subsequently also in simulated climate sensitivity and projections of future climate change. Achieving these goals will be performed in synergy with my training to acquire complementary knowledge and skills in climate modelling.

Original text from CORDIS.

Participants

  • UNIVERSITAET LEIPZIG · LeipzigCoordinatorGermany

Links

Data: CORDIS, © European Union