HoMe · Historical Grounding of Migration Decisions of the People at Environmental Risks
Horizon 2020 — Marie Skłodowska-Curie Actions
- Duration
- 2020-05-01 → 2023-04-30
- EU contribution
- €264,669
- Participants
- 2
- Scheme
- MSCA-IF
Lines connect the coordinator with its partners.
Results in brief
Historical Grounding of Migration Decisions of the People at Environmental Risks
This MSC Action dealt with the project title “Historical Grounding of Environmental Migration Decisions of People at Risks – (HoMe)”. It aimed to provide insights on historical reasons for migration decisions of people at environmental risks. The objectives are: (i) To develop a framework that considers the historical grounding of the social, political, and environmental variables and sub-variables in predicting the migration decisions of people at environmental risks using Ostrom’s framework for socio-ecological systems. (ii) To model how social, political, and environmental changes over time influence migration decisions of people at environmental risks using agent-based modeling (ABM). (iii) To explore migration decisions by simulating different scenarios of the future evolution of the historical grounding referred to social, political, and environmental conditions employing the scenario approach to test to which extent the model allows projection of future migration decisions Such an analysis fits within the broader strategic vision of international cooperation of the European Union. It contributes to global adaptation policy frameworks, including the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) (e.g. Goal 11, 13.1 & 16) , European Agenda on Migration, and the European Union’s commitment to international peace and security, development, prosperity, and human rights, and to the reduction of the climate-induced risks in developing countries. It was hosted by two excellent, highly experienced, and internationally renowned institutes: the University of Colorado Boulder (outbound) and Technische Universität Dresden (inbound).
Data: CORDIS, © European Union
Project objective
The HoMe (Historical Grounding of Migration Decisions of People at Environmental Risks) project will provide insights on historical reasons of migration decisions (to migrate or to not migrate) of people at environmental risks. Current research on environmental migration claims that mostly the poor are migrating due to disaster. However, motivations of environmental non-migration go beyond resources constraints and are understudied and not yet understood as migration decisions. The factors contributing to non-migration are supposed to be not simply the inverse of those that motivate to migrate. Rather it is assumed, non-migration is also influenced by the settlement history of a community. Going beyond the state-of-the-art, this project will develop for the first time an analytical framework using Ostrom’s socio-ecological system framework for examining the historical grounding of migration decisions. Second, it will model how changes of the social, political and environmental conditions over time influence migration decisions using agent-based modelling. Third, the model will be used to explore possible future migration decisions based on alternative scenarios of changing societal and environmental conditions in the future making use of the findings from the influence of the historical grounding. This novel and timely study will significantly advance scientific knowledge on environmental migration and the respective modelling capabilities, particularly in the emerging field of 'Environmental Non-Migration'. Results will provide a major contribution to global adaptation policy frameworks, including the SDGs and the EU’s Agenda on Migration. The realisation of this cutting-edge project will substantially support the applicant to achieve higher level of professional maturity. It will be hosted by two excellent, highly experienced and internationally renowned institutes: University of Colorado Boulder (outbound) and Technische Universität Dresden (inbound).
Original text from CORDIS.
Participants
- TECHNISCHE UNIVERSITAET DRESDEN · DresdenCoordinatorGermany
- REGENTS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF COLORADO · Boulder CoUnited States
Links
Data: CORDIS, © European Union