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КартаВръзкиТемиБългарияНощта (K-TRIO)Мария Склодовска-КюриЗа ученициЗа учителиМетодологияИзненадай ме
H2020Докторантска мрежа2016–2019

SYSTEM-RISK · A Large-Scale Systems Approach to Flood Risk Assessment and Management

„Хоризонт 2020“ — Действия „Мария Склодовска-Кюри“

Период
2016-01-01 → 2019-12-31
Финансиране от ЕС
3 884 131 €
Участници
18
Схема
MSCA-ITN

Линиите свързват координатора с партньорите.

Накратко на български

Рисковете от наводнения се анализират като цялостна система, включваща атмосферата, речните басейни и човешкото поведение. Това помага за по-точни оценки на щетите и по-добро разпределяне на инвестициите за защита на населението и икономиката.

Този кратък обзор е генериран от изкуствен интелект

Кратко обяснение, генерирано от езиков модел по текста на CORDIS. Оригиналът е по-долу.

Резултати накратко

A Large-Scale Systems Approach to Flood Risk Assessment and Management

Floods affect more people worldwide than any other natural hazard. With more than $ 100 Bn average annual losses, floods are of high relevance for society and economy. Current approaches for assessing flood risk often ignore interactions and changes in the atmosphere, catchments, river-floodplains, and socio-economic systems. As a consequence, risk analyses are uncertain and might be biased. However, reliable risk estimates are needed to prioritize investments in flood risk mitigation and for the insurance sector. To advance this field, the Marie Skłodowska-Curie European Training Network SYSTEM-RISK works on ‘A large-scale systems approach to flood risk assessment and management’. SYSTEM-RISK research considers the complete chain of processes involved from the meteorological events to the consequences, the manifold interactions, and temporal changes in flood risk systems. It focuses on the Atmosphere-Catchment System, the River-Dike-Floodplain System and the Socio-Economic System. Novel tools are developed for implementing the systems approach which allows considering upstream-downstream interactions within river systems, for instance, due to levee breaches, taking into account temporal changes in risk, such as the effect of private precaution on flood losses, and processing big data volumes and simulating large-scale yet high-resolution floods. These novel tools allow to comprehensively consider flood risk drivers, to understand and factor in human behaviour, to improve the integration of actors in risk management practice, to quantify the spatial redistribution of risk on large scales, and to assess risk management strategies in terms of risk reduction and equity in risk distribution. The close exchange between scientists and policy-makers, flood risk managers and private stakeholders makes sure that risk management practice can profit from the System-Risk perspective.

Текст от CORDIS, на английски · Данни: CORDIS, © Европейски съюз

Цел на проекта

Flood risk systems are characterised by physical and socio-economic processes acting at different space-time scales, by non-stationary and non-linear behaviour, and by a significant degree of interdependence between processes. This may lead to surprising developments and unanticipated side effects of risk reduction measures. A novel systems approach is needed that captures this dynamics and accounts for the interactions of the system components. We propose the ETN SYSTEM-RISK which aims at developing this systems approach for large spatial scales, from large river basins to the European scale. The research concept of SYSTEM-RISK builds upon the entire risk chain, from the source of hazard to consequences, and analyses the interactions and temporal dynamics in flood risk systems. In this way, the linear risk chain is replaced by a more realistic approach with interdependent links. SYSTEM-RISK exposes early-stage researchers (ESR) to all knowledge domains along the risk chain, and gives them, at the same time, the opportunity to build specific research profiles. The interdisciplinary setting and the focus on interactions and spatio-temporal dynamics of risk system will expand the mental models and lead to a new generation of creative scientists, able to transfer their systems perspective from flood risk systems to other fields. We bring together internationally leading groups in flood research with institutions from the non-academic main sectors exploiting flood research – consultancy, insurance industry and governmental sector. Close interaction will support the ESRs in developing trans-disciplinary skills with an understanding of both fundamental science and application. SYSTEM-RISK will deliver a suite of methods and tools for assessing and managing flood risk across large regions. This will be of highest importance for the EU Flood Directive and Strategy on Adaptation for Climate Change due to the EU’s key role in dealing with risks transcending national borders.

Оригинален текст от CORDIS (на английски).

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Данни: CORDIS, © Европейски съюз