H2020Индивидуална стипендия2017–2019

KeyDynamics · Addressing key challenges for forecasting climate change effects on biodiversity: an assessment of dispersal limitation, priority effects and intra-species trait variation in range dynamics

„Хоризонт 2020“ — Действия „Мария Склодовска-Кюри“

Период: 2017-04-01 → 2019-03-31
Финансиране от ЕС: 212 195 €
Участници: 1
Схема: MSCA-IF

Линиите свързват координатора с партньорите.

Накратко на български

Динамиката на разпространение на растенията при климатичните промени се анализира чрез влиянието на биологичните взаимодействия и разликите в адаптивността на отделните индивиди. Това помага за по-доброто разбиране на оцеляването на видовете и поддържането на екосистемите.

Този кратък обзор е генериран от изкуствен интелект

Кратко обяснение, генерирано от езиков модел по текста на CORDIS. Оригиналът е по-долу.

Резултати накратко

Addressing key challenges for forecasting climate change effects on biodiversity: an assessment of dispersal limitation, priority effects and intra-species trait variation in range dynamics

Global climate change and human-induced land use are changing ecological systems worldwide, with strong consequences for biodiversity and ecosystem. It is therefore a key challenge for science to provide a better predictive understanding of the dynamics involved. Climate warming is expected to move the ranges of terrestrial plants and, in particular, to shift the habitats suitable for them towards higher altitudes and latitudes. The ability to keep pace with these shifting habitat patterns is likely to be the key to the survival of many species and thus the provisioning and maintaining of ecosystem services. However, our understanding of the mechanisms involved and, therefore, our ability to predict future dynamics is very limited. Marie-Curie project 'KeyDynamics' aimed at addressing three key limits in our understanding of the reaction of species and associated ecosystem services to climate dynamics. There is limited knowledge i) to which extend current species' distributions are in equilibrium with their climatic niches, ii) how necessary range shifts are modulated by complex biotic interactions, which may depend on arrival order in a community i.e. "priority effects", and iii) if 'species' is the adequate unit for impact assessments and predictive modelling given large within-species variability in adaptive capacity. Addressing these objectives has the potential to greatly enhance our understanding of climate-biosphere interactions, with immediate practical applicability as well as contributions to fundamental ecological theory. The project further aimed in capacity building for the Postdoc by developing various skills beneficial for a successful scientist.

Текст от CORDIS, на английски · Данни: CORDIS, © Европейски съюз

Цел на проекта

Active adaptation to current climate change related threats and the utilization of possible opportunities is hindered by three key limits in our understanding of the reaction of species and associated ecosystem services to climate dynamics. There is limited knowledge i) to which extend current species’ distributions are in equilibrium with their climatic niches, ii) how necessary range shifts are modulated by complex biotic interactions, which may depend on arrival order in a community i.e. “priority effects”, and iii) if ‘species’ is the adequate unit for impact assessments and predictive modelling given large within-species variability in adaptive capacity. This project will address all three key limits at once by applying novel methodology tracking species range shift dynamics through time since the Last Glacial Maximum. The project improves established migration models and utilizes newly available high-resolution vegetation community information to quantify biotic interactions comparing functional similarity between arriving species and the established community. Pollen and macrofossil records will be used for independent model evaluation and to identify responsible drivers for time lags between climate suitability and actual arrival of species at sites across Europe. Extending the approach accounting for differently adapted ecotypes within species will identify effects of intra-species variation on range dynamics.The proposed research has the potential to greatly enhance our understanding of climate-biosphere interactions, and results will have immediate practical applicability. Strong contributions to fundamental ecological theory are to be expected. The candidate’s experience in geospatial modelling and theoretical ecology, together with the host’s expertise in empirical and geospatial ecology and ecosystem services, will provide new insights into the mechanisms shaping range dynamics particularly in the context of anthropogenic climate change.

Оригинален текст от CORDIS (на английски).

Участници

AARHUS UNIVERSITET · Aarhus CКоординаторДания