H2020Индивидуална стипендия2019–2021

PROTECTNICHE · Understanding the role of intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of loss in species niches, to inform conservation planning under climate change

„Хоризонт 2020“ — Действия „Мария Склодовска-Кюри“

Период: 2019-02-01 → 2021-01-31
Финансиране от ЕС: 180 277 €
Участници: 1
Схема: MSCA-IF

Линиите свързват координатора с партньорите.

Накратко на български

Климатичните ниши на сухоземните бозайници се анализират, за да се разбере как хората и промените в средата влияят върху тях. Това помага за определяне на риска от измиране на видовете и планиране на тяхното опазване при променящия се климат.

Този кратък обзор е генериран от изкуствен интелект

Кратко обяснение, генерирано от езиков модел по текста на CORDIS. Оригиналът е по-долу.

Резултати накратко

Understanding the role of intrinsic and extrinsic drivers of loss in species niches, to inform conservation planning under climate change

The extinction of species is the most alarming consequence of global biodiversity decline, with potential dramatic effects on our economy and well-being. The current rate of climate change is predicted to further increase extinction risk, hence there is urgent need to anticipate species decline rather than reacting to it. The breadth of a species’ niche - the set of environmental conditions in which the species can persist - is the key ecological trait that allows adaptation to environmental change, but it is often ignored in conservation applications. This project aimed at defining the conditions under which species’ adaptive potential will be maintained or compromised under global change. The goal of the PROTECTNICHE project is to disentangle the impacts of humans, climate change, and life history on the climatic niches of terrestrial mammals to understand future risk from climate change. The project is divided into two objectives: i) Attribute the global change in past species climatic niches to intrinsic and extrinsic drivers; ii) Define a measure of vulnerability to climate change for each species, to define risk under alternative future scenarios. This is a research area of primary interest in Europe, given the EC has recognised that business opportunities from investing in biodiversity conservation could be worth US$ 2-6 trillion by 2050. This is also of direct relevance for European commitments towards sustainable development. European Member States are committed to respect the Paris Agreement on climate change mitigation, and to achieve the Sustainable Development Goals. The results of the PROTECTNICHE project will reinforce the role of Europe as a research innovator on planetary sustainability. The project unveiled tipping points of climatic instability (when <70% of the original climatic space was lost) beyond which species are very likely to undergo niche shrink. It also showed the role of certain biological characteristics, such as large body size, long gestation time, and carnivorous diet, in reducing species’ ability to cope with changing climate. This knowledge is essential to evaluate the ecological effects of future climatic scenarios, as well as the ecological significance of international policy commitments towards climate change mitigation.

Текст от CORDIS, на английски · Данни: CORDIS, © Европейски съюз

Цел на проекта

The extinction of species is the most alarming consequence of global biodiversity decline, with potential dramatic effects on our economy and well-being. The current rate of climate change is predicted to further increase extinction risk, hence there is urgent need to anticipate species decline rather than reacting to it. The breadth of a species’ niche - the set of environmental conditions in which the species can persist - is the key ecological trait that allows adaptation to environmental change, but is largely ignored in conservation planning applications. The goal of the PROTECTNICHE project is to disentangle the impacts of humans, climate change, and life history on the climatic niches of terrestrial mammals to inform a conservation strategy for preventing future species declines. This goal incorporates 3 objectives: i) Attribute the global change in past species climatic niches to intrinsic and extrinsic drivers; ii) Based on the models developed in Obj. 1, define a measure of adaptability to climate change for each species; iii) Based on the outcome of Obj. 2, develop a global conservation strategy to maximise the protection of species climatic niches while minimising their exposure to climate change. The project focuses on the world's terrestrial mammals, a data-rich group currently facing significant extinction rates, to develop and theoretically ground a conservation planning approach that can be also transfered to other taxa. Building on my expertise on extinction risk analysis and conservation planning, and the habitat and climatic modelling capabilities of Dr Rondinini and the Global Mammal Assessment lab, this project will define a proactive conservation plan where actions are prioritised to preserve species adaptive potential under global change. This is a research area of primary interest in Europe, given the EC has recognised that business opportunities from investing in biodiversity conservation could be worth US$ 2-6 trillion by 2050.

Оригинален текст от CORDIS (на английски).

Участници

UNIVERSITA DEGLI STUDI DI ROMA LA SAPIENZA · RomaКоординаторИталия