HEИндивидуална стипендия2023–2025

GreenFlux · Effect of climate change on greenhouse gas fluxes from marine Artic regions

„Хоризонт Европа“ — Действия „Мария Склодовска-Кюри“

Период
2023-03-01 → 2025-05-31
Финансиране от ЕС
230 774 €
Участници
2
Схема
HORIZON-TMA-MSCA-PF-EF

Линиите свързват координатора с партньорите.

Накратко на български

Арктическият вечен лед и газовите хидрати под морското дъно се анализират, за да се разбере колко парникови газове отделят при затопляне. Това помага да се оцени как тези процеси влияят върху глобалните климатични промени в бъдеще.

Този кратък обзор е генериран от изкуствен интелект

Кратко обяснение, генерирано от езиков модел по текста на CORDIS. Оригиналът е по-долу.

Резултати накратко

Effect of climate change on greenhouse gas fluxes from marine Artic regions

Which role do greenhouse gasses emitted from the sea floor play in climate change? GreenFlux is an original investigation into the contribution of high-latitude continental margins and shelf seas to global greenhouse gas emissions by assessing the sensitivity of sub-seafloor permafrost and gas hydrates to climate change. With innovative and integrated approaches, I evaluated how the environmental changes since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; about twenty thousand years ago) impacted gas release from the seafloor and which helps to assess how the Arctic may develop in a future warmer world. Rising concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere since pre-industrial times cause the Arctic to warm at a faster pace compared to the planet. This is known as Artic amplification and causes an exacerbation of climatic effects such as the melting of the Greenland ice sheet. Particularly in the Arctic, key players that likely have a strong impact on global climate are permafrost soils and marine gas hydrates, because both host large amounts of carbon. Permafrost in marine sediments has likely developed in aerially exposed areas during the extreme cold (-20°C annual mean temperature) and low sea level (-120 m) of the Late Pleistocene. These conditions (high-pressure/low-temperature) were also favorable for gas hydrate formation. Thus, “relic” permafrost and gas hydrate may exist in the Arctic to present water depths of 120 m (Figure 1). Current global warming may cause an increase in melting of permafrost and gas hydrates and thus release more greenhouse gases into the ocean or even the atmosphere (climatic feedback). However, the sensitivity of permafrost and gas hydrates to rising temperatures is poorly constrained. Our understanding of the involved geologic processes in the Arctic predominantly relies on observations from natural cold seeps offshore Svalbard. In and around Northeast (NE) Greenland, these cold seeps have received very little attention and it thus remains a “white gap” on the map. This is partly because of a lack of data and insufficient mapping at high resolution, in particular for the NE Greenland shelf. Because NE Greenland is a white gap, current compilations may significantly mis-predict the carbon budget in the Arctic. My project “Effect of climate change on greenhouse gas fluxes from marine Artic regions” (GreenFlux) aims to provide groundbreaking scientific basis on the underlying geologic processes of greenhouse gas emissions from marine sediments.

Текст от CORDIS, на английски · Данни: CORDIS, © Европейски съюз

Цел на проекта

Current global warming is faster in the Arctic already affecting the region profoundly. In the Arctic, key players that likely have a strong impact on global warming are permafrost and gas hydrates, because both host large amounts of carbon. Permafrost and gas hydrates also likely occur offshore as relics of the Pleistocene. Current global warming may cause melting of these marine permafrost and gas hydrates and release more greenhouse gases into the ocean or even atmosphere (climatic feedback). However, the geologic processes that govern such melting and the sensitivity to climate change are poorly constrained. Here, I propose an original combination of approaches to assess the contribution of (sub-) Arctic marine gas hydrate and permafrost systems to marine geologic greenhouse gas emissions (GreenFlux). First, I will investigate the sensitivity of these marine systems and associated fluid flow systems to climate change across the NE Greenland shelf by using seismic and acoustic data in combination with paleo-oceanographic proxies from sediment cores. Second, a detailed study of the Kattegat, offshore Denmark, provides an analogue for the spatiotemporal evolution of sub-Arctic fluid flow systems in response to climatic changes. I will compare these two regions, one Arctic and one now temperate, to evaluate how the environmental differences impact gas release and how the Arctic is likely to develop in a future warmer world. GreenFlux will break new ground in our understanding of how climate change will influence marine gas hydrates, permafrost, and associated fluid flow in Arctic regions, and generate new knowledge on how much greenhouse gas these systems contribute to natural geologic emissions. The results will therefore be of importance to a wide audience, ranging from all Earth scientists to policy makers and the general public because they contribute to improvements of climatic models that help us as society predict and deal with the effects of climate change.

Оригинален текст от CORDIS (на английски).

Участници

Връзки

Данни: CORDIS, © Европейски съюз